Oil prices edge up on geopolitical tensions, OPEC+ supply plans


04-12-2024 09:50 AM

Ammon News - Oil prices firmed on Wednesday as market participants weighed up geopolitical tensions and the prospect of OPEC+ extending supply cuts against weaker demand.

Brent crude futures rose 16 cents, or 0.2%, to $73.78 a barrel by 0440 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 14 cents, or 0.2%, to $70.08.

On Tuesday, Brent posted its biggest gain in two weeks, rising 2.5%.

Meanwhile in the U.S., crude oil inventories rose 1.2 million barrels last week, market sources said, citing data from the American Petroleum Institute.

Gasoline inventory also rose, by 4.6 million barrels, even though the week included Thanksgiving when demand typically rises as families travel by car for holiday get-togethers.

Official data on oil stocks from the U.S. Energy Information Administration is due on Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. ET (1530 GMT). Analysts polled by Reuters expect a 700,000 barrel decline in crude and a 639,000 barrel increase in gasoline.

Also supporting prices, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, or OPEC+, will likely extend output cuts until the end of the first quarter next year when members meet on Thursday, industry sources told Reuters. OPEC+ has been looking to gradually phase out supply cuts through next year.

"The main issue facing any return of OPEC+ supply is that non-OPEC supply growth in 2025 is expected to eclipse the growth in global oil demand," said Commonwealth Bank of Australia analyst Vivek Dhar in a note.

"The International Energy Agency expects non-OPEC supply growth, led by the U.S., Canada, Guyana and Brazil, to increase supply by 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) next year. Global oil demand is only expected to lift about 1 million bpd as China's oil demand is expected to remain subdued."

Reuters




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