Ammon News - France's population is expected to peak in 2037, seven years earlier than previously estimated, before shrinking back to around its 2014 level in the following decades, statistics agency INSEE said on Monday.
France has long had stronger demographics than most of Europe, but an ageing population and falling birth rates show it is not immune to the pressures straining public finances across the continent.
France's natural population growth turned negative in 2025 and will remain so, with gains until 2037 driven entirely by migration, INSEE said in its latest projections.
The population is expected to rise from 69.1 million in 2026 to a peak of 69.8 million in 2037, before falling to 65.9 million by 2070, roughly its 2014 level, Reuters reported.
INSEE's previous projections in 2021 put the peak later, in 2044, at about 69.3 million.
If migration weakens or fertility falls below the central assumption of 1.45 children per woman, the population could drop to as low as 54.6 million by 2070.
As well as shrinking, the population will age significantly.
By 2070, one in three people in France will be aged 65 or older, about double the share under 20.
The sharpest shift will be among the oldest groups, with the number aged 80 and over more than doubling to around 9 million, while centenarians could quadruple to about 160,000.