ammonnews.net

Ammon News - The dollar crept off five-week lows on Tuesday, as investors weighed the case for a September rate cut after comments by Fed Chair Jerome Powell and rising odds for the re-election of former President Donald Trump.

The Japanese yen was weaker in Asian hours after Monday's one-month high of 157.165 to the dollar, keeping traders wary of further intervention by Tokyo.

On Monday, Powell said the second quarter's three U.S. inflation readings "add somewhat to confidence" that the pace of price increases is returning to the Federal Reserve's target in a sustainable way.

The comments, likely Powell's last until his press conference after a Fed meeting set for July 30 and 31, shifted rate cut expectations.
Markets now anticipate 68 basis points (bps) of easing this year, with a rate cut in September fully priced in, the CME FedWatch tool showed.

The dollar index , which measures the U.S. unit against six peers, was at 104.3, not far from the one-month low of 104 it touched on Monday.

The euro was at $1.0893, just shy of a four-month high touched on Monday, having erased all of the losses of the past few weeks when it came under pressure from uncertainty about the French election.

The focus will be on the European Central Bank's policy meeting on Thursday, when it is expected to hold rates, but attention will be on comments from chief Christine Lagarde to ascertain the timing of the next rate cut.

Markets are pricing in 48 bps of cuts this year.

"The yen was due a pullback anyway," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial market analyst at Capital.com.

Before last week, Tokyo spent roughly 9.8 trillion yen ($61 billion) defending the yen at the end of April and early May, official data show, but the unit has continued to slide, hitting its lowest since December 1986 at 161.96 on July 3.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin rose 1% to trade just shy of $65,000, near its highest in a month. Ether was 1% higher at $3,466 for a two-week peak.

Cryptocurrencies, along with shares of companies that could benefit from a Trump presidency, jumped on Monday after an assassination bid on the Republican candidate boosted expectations that he would win the November election.

Sterling was little changed at $1.29625, lurking below its one-year high on Monday, as investors await British inflation data on Wednesday for more clues to interest rate policy.

Among other currencies, the Australian dollar was 0.27% lower at $0.6741, off a six-month high touched last week. The New Zealand dollar eased 0.17% to $0.6064, hitting a two-week low ahead of inflation data due on Wednesday.

Reuters